Future Studies (Extend Present) and Its Application in Joe Biden’s Middle East Policy: From Probable Scenarios until the Possible Future

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Corresponding author: Associate Professor, Department of Political Sciences, Birjand University, Northern Khorasan, Iran

2 Associate Professor, Department of the Islamic Education, Allameh Tabatabaee University, Tehran, Iran

3 University of Political Science, Birjand University, Northern Khorasan, Iran

Abstract

Studying and recognizing past trends; Present Processes and explaining events and paths in the Future is the basis for decision-making in International Politics and Foreign relations in order to adopt appropriate Strategies. The Middle East has long been Considered a geo-strategic region for major powers such as the United States from the point of view geo-political theory, Geopolitical Imagination of Super Powers of Sensitive Global regions can affect their activity in the international system. In its Foreign policy the United States has always Considered the Middle East as a Strategic area that has Capacity to pursue its trans – regional interest and exerted influence in the region at Various times and With a Variety of Policies. The Main question of this article is how to predict the US Middle East Foreign policy under Biden era the Based on different Scenarios and Futures models? This is a Research Using a Future Study Framework based on Extend Present and with the Script Writing method they Study see to Explain and delineate the Four Future of Biden – era US Middle East foreign policy. The present paper hypothesizes that, based on Future Study Four Probable Scenarios can be considered for the Future of Biden’s Middle East Policy.

Keywords

References

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American Strategic Studies
Volume 1, Issue 4
Winter Quarterly
March 2022
Pages 89-117

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History

  • Receive Date: 30 September 2021
  • Revise Date: 20 November 2021
  • Accept Date: 25 January 2022

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