Feasibility of Power Transfer in the South China Sea: China Rises Against American Hegemony

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Corresponding Author: Associate Professor, Department of Law, Faculty of Law and Social Sciences, Payam Noor University, Tehran, Iran

2 Visiting lecturer, Payam Noor University, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

During the post-Cold War era, the ground was set for the growth of regional powers in a multipolar world. One of these regions is the Southeast Asia which encompasses China South Sea, which is considered as a geopolitical basin. The geographical location of the South Sea of China is strategically important as it is believed that huge oil and natural gas reserves lie beneath its seabed. Moreover, China South Sea is the habitat of a large number of aquatic plants and animals. China's economic rise and rapid growth in recent decades, the South China Sea has become a hotbed of conflict between coastal neighbors, regional organizations, as well as extraterritorial powers. It is probable that international relations and the traditional US-led traditional order in East Asia change as an important consequence of emerging a power in the East. This study seeks to explain the concepts and sources of power in international relations and examine the conflict of power between the United States and China in the South China Sea Basin. This paper has answered with a qualitative approach and studying documents with a descriptive-analytical manner whether Chinese sovereignty over the South China Sea paves the way for the decline of traditional US hegemony in the region. The findings of this study indicate that China's rapid growth and increase in military power and the exercise of monopoly power over the South Sea of China have led to strong opposition from neighboring countries and supra-regional powers. This opposition will be a challenge for any peaceful transfer of power in the region.

Keywords


امین­زاده، الهام و شارق، زهرا سادات. (1398). بررسی مفهوم آب­های تاریخی در پرتو پرونده دریای چین جنوبی. فصلنامه پژوهش حقوقی، 21(64)، 99-71.
خضری، رؤیا. (1391). استراتژی چین و آمریکا در دریای چین جنوبی. نشریه سیاست خارجی، 26(3)، 758-743.
شیرخانی، محمدعلی و محروق، فاطمه. (1399). خیزش چین در عصر گذار پویایی­های جهانی و منطقه­ای. تهران: انتشارات دانشگاه تهران.
فلاحی، احسان و امیدی، علی. (1396). دامنه تغییر و تداوم سیاست خارجی و توسعه­گرایانه چین در دوران شی جین پینگ. رهیافت­های سیاسی و بین­المللی، 9(1)، 178-137.
عباس­زاده فتح­آبادی، مهدی و رمضانی، احمد. (1396). سیاست چین در دریای جنوبی؛ سیاست قدرت و نفوذ دریایی. فصلنامه علمی پژوهشی سیاست خارجی، 6(2)، 84-59.
کوهن، سوئل­بی. (1387). ژئوپلیتیک نظام جهانی (ترجمه عباس کاردان). تهران: ابرار معاصر.
فریدمن، جورج. (1398). جهان در صد سال آینده: پیش­بینی اوضاع سیاسی جهان در قرن بیست و یکم (ترجمه ابوالحسن تهامی). تهران: انتشارات فرزان.
محمودی، سید هادی و راستگو افخم، عارفه. (1397). تقابل برنامه آزادی دریانوردی آمریکا و ادعاهای حاکمیتی چین در دریای جنوبی چین. نشریه مطالعات حقوقی، 10(1)، 304-273.
مسرور، محمد و حسن­خانی، محمد. (1397). بازآرایی ژئوپلیتیکی در دریای چین جنوبی. نشریه ژئوپلیتیک، 50(50)، 196-168.
مهکویی، حجت و شعبانی، مریم. (1398). واکاوی دلایل ساخت جزایر مصنوعی توسط چین در دریای جنوبی. نشریه جغرافیا و توسعه ناحیه­ای، 17(2)، 257-217.
Bader, Jeffrey A. (2013). Obama & China's rise: An insider's account of American's Asia Strategy.  Washington D. C.: Brooking Institution Press.
Berenskoetter, F. (2007). Thinking about power, power in world politics. Edit by Felix Berenskoetter & M.J. William, London: Routledge.
Bateman,S., Emmers, R. (2012). Security & International Politics in the South China Sea:Towards a cooperative management Regime,First Published,London,Rutledge.
Beeson, M. (2005). Rethinking regionalism:Europen & East Asia ic comparative historical perspective,Journal of European Public Policy,Vol.12,pp969-985.
Beukel, E. (2010). China & the South China Sea:Two Faces of power in the Rising China's Neighborhood Policy,DIIS Working paper 2010:07,Copenhage,Denmark.
Cahill, B. (2012). Geopolitics of the South China Sea Energy Intelligence,Singapore.
Carpio, A. (2017). The South China Sea Dispute:Philippine Sovereign Rights & Jurisdiction in the West Philippine Sea,First Published,Manil Institute for Maritime & Ocean affairs.
Cohen, S B. (2008). Geopolitics of the world system,Traslated by Abbas Kardan, [In Persian],Tehran:International Studies & Research Institute.
Cole, B D. (2016). China's Quest for Great Power:Ship,Oil & Foreign Policy,First Published,Annapolis,MaryLand,Naval Institute Press.
Durani, L A. (2015). China and the South China Sea:The Emergence of the Huaqing Doctrine, Political Science Doctoral dissertation,Blacksburg,Virginia.
Fravel, M. (2011). China's Strategy in the South China Sea,Contemporary Southeast Asia. Vol.33,pp 292-319.
Fels, E. (2017). Shifting power in Asia-Pacific?The rise of china,Sino-US Competition & Regional middle power allegiance,Cham:Springer.
Guang, L. (2016). Us Attitudes Towards The South China Sea Dispute in the 1930,Pacific Journal,Vol.7,pp64-72.
Gao, Z., Jia, B. (2013). The Nine-Dash Line in the South China Sea:History,Status,Implications,American Journal of International Law,Vol.107,pp98-124.
Hayton, B. (2014). The South China Sea;The Struggle for Power in Asia,First Published,Yale University Press,New Haven & London.
Hwang, Y., Frettingham, E. (2021). Maritime & Territorial Dispute in the South China Sea;Faces of Power & Law in the Age of China's Rise, Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group.
Kissinger, H. (1979).The White House years,First Published, Buston, MA:Little, Brown & Company.
Kim, S. (1999). The South China Sea in China's Strategic Thinking,Contemporary Southeast Asia: A Journal of International and Strategic Affairs,Vol.19,pp369-387.
Keyuan, Z. (2009). China-Asean Relations & International Law, First Published, United Kingdom, Chandos Publishing.
Kaviani, M., Ghanbarlu, A., Delalat, M. (2017). The Influence of United States Pacific Approach on the Security of South Western of Asia, Geopolitics Quarterly,13(3), 31-72.
Li, M., Atmakuri, A. (2021). US-China in the South China Sea,Handbook of the South China Sea,Keyuan Zou,Routledge Taylor & Francis Group,London & NewTork, 2(1), 483-496.
Lampton.D. (2008). The Three faces of Chinese Power,Might,Money & Minds, Berkeley:University of California Press.
Mearsheimer, J. (2007). Structural Realism:In to Dunne, International Realations Theories, M, Kurkl; S, Smith,Oxford University Press.
Morriss, P. (2002). Power: A Philosophical analysis;In M.Haugaard(Ed), Power:A reader (pp.203-278),Manchester University Press.
Mastro, O. (2020). Chinese International in the South China Sea, Wilson China Fellowship.
Nye, J. (2004). Soft power:The means to success in world politics, First Published, NewYork: Public Affairs.
Organski, A F K. (1958). World Politics. NewYork, Alfred A.Knopf
Pedrozo, R P. (2010). Reserving navigation Rights & Freedoms:The Right to conduct Military Activities in China's Exclusive Economic Zone, Chinese Journal of International Law, 9(1), 9-29.
Qiu, Q. (2018). Analysis of US South China Sea Policy in the 1950s,Social Sciences Studies, 1(2), 66-71.
Roach, J.A. (2018). Offshore Archipelagos Enclosed by Staight Baselines:An Excessive Claim?. Ocean Development & International Law, 49(13),176-202.
Rahman, C., Tsamenyi, M. (2010). A Strategic Perspective on Security & Naval Issues in the South China Sea ,Ocean Development & International Law, 41(1). 315-333.
Raditio, K H. (2018). Understanding China's Behaviour in the South China Sea;A Defensive Realist Perspective. Palgrave Macmillan,Published by Springer.
Shicum, W., Keyuan, Z. (2016). Arbitration Concerning the South China Sea: Philippines Versus China. First Published, London & NewYork,Rutledge.
Schmucker, C., Gnath, B., Gnath, K. (2010). From G8 To the G20: Reforming the Global economic governance system. German Council on Foreigh Relations, GRANET working paper No.73/09.
Thayer, C.A. (2011). Security Coopration in the South China Sea:An Assessment of recent trends. First Manila Conference on the SCS: Toward aregion of Peace, Cooperation and Progrese, http://www.ndcp.edu.ph/SCSNSR.pdf.
Shambaugh, D. (2013). China goes global;The partial power. NewYork: Oxford University Press.
Scott, D. (2012). Conflict Irresolution In the South China Sea,Asia Survey. 56 (6), 310-327.
Turscanyi, R Q. (2018). China Assertiveness in the South China Sea; Power Source. Domestic Politics & Reactive Foreign Policy, First Published, London, Spring International Publishing.
Trang, LT., Welfield, J B. (2020). Building a Normative order in South China Sea. First Published, Sydney University.
Teixeira,V., Alexander, G. (2018). United State's Policy Strategy in South China Sea. School of International Relations, Xiamen University, Xianmen, Scholar Journal of Applied Sciences & Research, 1(6),1-30.
U.S.Department of S. (2014). Maritime Claims in the South China Sea. Report No.143.
U.S.Office of the Secretary Defense,Annual Report to Congress:Military & Security Developments Involving the People's of China. (2020). http:// https://media.defense.gov/2020/Sep/01/2002488689/-1/-1/1/2020-DOD-CHINA-MILITARY-POWER-REPORT-FINAL.PDF.
Vuong, B. (2013). The Reminiscence,First Published,USA,Xlibris Corporation
Walt, S M. (1991). The renaissance of Security Studies. International Studies Quarterly, 35(3), 211-239.
Welfield, J B., Trang, L. (2020). Building a normative oeder in the South China. Via Sydney University Press.
Yan, X., Huang, Y. (2011). Hegemony in the stratagems of warring states. Ancient Chinese thought, modern Chinese Power, First Published, Princenton University Press.
Yoshiharat, T., Holms, JR. (2011). Can China Defenda Core interest in the South China Sea?. The Washington Quarterly, 34(7), 45-59.
Zhenhua, H. (1988). A Compilation of historical Materials about China's South China Sea Islands. Beijing,Oriental Press.
Zachrisen, O. (2015). China's Political use of Economic ties in Territorial dispute: A Comparative case study of Japan's & the Philippines. Master's Thesis, Political Science, Trondheim, University of Science & Technology, Norwegian.
Ang, G. (1999). The South China Sea Dispute Re-visited. Institute of Defense & Strategic Studies ,Singapore, Working Paper, No.4, (Observed:01/12/2022), http://hdl.nandle.net/10326/90464.
Bower, E Z., Poling, G B. (2014). China-Vietnam tensions high over drilling rig in dispute, (Observed:02/22/2022), Washington, DC: Center for Strategic & International Studies, http://csis.org/Publication.
Beckman, R C., Davenport, T. (2011). CLCS Submissions & Claims in the South China Sea. Center for International Law (CIL), (Observed:01/21/2022), http://cil.nus.edu.sg/wp/wp-content/uploads/.
BBC. (2011). China accuses Vietnam in South China Sea row. (Observed:01/18/2022). http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-pacific-13723443.
Do.T. (2014). Vietnam's Strategic Outlook after Haiyang 981. East Asia Forum, (Observed:02/08/2022), http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2014/06/04.
Glaser, B.S., Szawinski, A. (2013). Second Thomas Shoal Likely the next flashpoint in the South China Sea. China Brief, Vol.13. (Observed:01/02/2022). http://www.Jamestown.org/programs/chinabrief/single.
Goldman, J M. (2013). President Aquino's Second half: Minimum credible defense in contested waters?. China Brief, Vol.13, (Observed:01/02/022), http://www.Jamestown.org/programs/chinabrief/single.
Himmelman, J. (2010). A game of Shark & Minnow. (Observed:01/16/2022), NewYork Times, http://www.nytimes.com/newagraphics/.
Huanxin, Z. (2020). Harvard Survey Finds Chiness Satisfaction with govt rises, The China Daily. (observed: 02/22/2021), https://global.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202007/17/WS5f10da6aa31083481725a085.
Kuok, L. (2016). Challenging China's Illegal Maritime baselinese. The Wall Street Journal, (Observed:12/16/2021), http://wsj.com/articles/challenging-china-illegal-maritime-baselines-147702643.
Kuhn, R L. (2016). Candid Thoughts on South Chine Sea Disputes. China Daily, (Observed:12/25/2021). http://chinadaily.com.cn/opinion/2016-08/06/content_26367442_3.htm.
Lee, V R. (2015). China's new military Installations in the dispute Spratly Inslands. (Observed:01/14/2022),http://www.medium.com/.
Lee, V R. (2016). China expands land filling at North Island in the Paracels: South Chian Sea. (Observed:01/14/2022), http://www.medium.com/.
Morgan, M B. (2019). A World-Class Military:Assessing China's Global Military Ambitions.(Observed:11/25/2021),http://www.USCC.gov/sites/default/files/morgan‌‌_uscc%20testi-mony-final.pdf.
Perlez, J. (2012). Dispute flares over energy in South China Sea, (Observed:11/25/2021), NewYork Times,http://www.nytimes.con/2012/12/05.
Panda, A. (2015). China's HD-981 Oil rig returns:near Disputed South China Sea waters. (Observed:10/19/2021),The Diplomate,http://the diplomat.com/2015/06/.
Swaine, M., Fravell, M. (2011). China's assertive behavior, Part Two:The Maritime Periphery. China Leadership Monitor. (Observed:10/19/2021). http://carnegieendowment.org/files/CLM35ms.pdf.
Wong, E. (2010). Chinese Military Seeks to extend its naval Power, NewYork Times. (Observed:10/22/2021),http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/24/.